Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.