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League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
SToK Cae Ras
Bristol Rovers

Wrexham
1 - 1
Bristol Rovers

James (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Moore (32')
Thomas (49'), Forde (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Wrexham and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 0-0 Wrexham
Saturday, April 12 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Exeter
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wrexham 2-0 Bristol Rovers

Wrexham may have dropped points last time out with a poor offensive display against Wigan, but they will be motivated by their home crowd to avoid slipping into the playoffs. Additionally, Rovers have been particularly shocking on the road this season, and they may struggle to score given the Red Dragons' impressive defensive record. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 65.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 13.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.07%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
WrexhamDrawBristol Rovers
65.5% (1.138 1.14) 21.1% (-0.835 -0.84) 13.41% (-0.298 -0.3)
Both teams to score 43.99% (1.585 1.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.12% (2.608 2.61)50.88% (-2.605 -2.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.24% (2.248 2.25)72.76% (-2.245 -2.25)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.23% (1.241 1.24)14.77% (-1.237 -1.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.98% (2.32 2.32)43.02% (-2.317 -2.32)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.61% (1.127 1.13)48.39% (-1.125 -1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.49% (0.806 0.81)83.52% (-0.804 -0.8)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 65.49%
    Bristol Rovers 13.41%
    Draw 21.1%
WrexhamDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 13.67% (-0.85 -0.85)
2-0 @ 13.07% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.139 0.14)
3-0 @ 8.33% (0.21 0.21)
3-1 @ 6.05% (0.339 0.34)
4-0 @ 3.98% (0.264 0.26)
4-1 @ 2.89% (0.277 0.28)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.189 0.19)
5-0 @ 1.52% (0.161 0.16)
5-1 @ 1.11% (0.148 0.15)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.131 0.13)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 65.49%
1-1 @ 9.92% (-0.277 -0.28)
0-0 @ 7.15% (-0.779 -0.78)
2-2 @ 3.44% (0.158 0.16)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 21.1%
0-1 @ 5.19% (-0.383 -0.38)
1-2 @ 3.6% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.88% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 13.41%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Bristol Rovers

Wrexham
Draw
Bristol Rovers
Wrexham
90.9%
Draw
0.0%
Bristol Rovers
9.1%
33
Head to Head
Dec 21, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 21
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Wrexham
Omochere (86')
Thomas (45+4'), Lindsay (57'), Wilson (90+6')
Lee (18')
Palmer (45+4'), O'Connell (48'), McClean (90+6'), Fletcher (90+6')
Dec 2, 2014 7.45pm
Sep 9, 2014 7.45pm
Bristol Rovers
1-0
Wrexham
Monkhouse (34')
Lockyer (31'), Mansell (37'), Taylor (54'), Sinclair (83')

Hudson (33'), Jennings (68')
Carrington (64')
Oct 28, 2006 3pm
Wrexham
2-0
Bristol Rovers
Llewellyn (22'), Craddock (90')
Williams (13')
Llewellyn (65')

Haldane (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham433193763046102
2Wrexham442511862342886
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe442412869412884
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4424101064392582
5Stockport CountyStockport442312966392781
6Leyton Orient442261667472072
7Reading4420121264531172
8Bolton WanderersBolton44206186568-366
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield44197185648864
10Blackpool4316151267561163
11Lincoln CityLincoln4416131562511161
12Barnsley441610186469-558
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham441510195157-655
14Stevenage441510194048-855
15Wigan AthleticWigan431314163739-253
16Exeter CityExeter441411194661-1553
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough431311196474-1050
18Northampton TownNorthampton441214184762-1550
19Mansfield TownMansfield43139215367-1448
20Burton Albion431013204561-1643
21Bristol Rovers44127254370-2743
22Crawley TownCrawley441010245282-3040
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge44911244369-2638
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4479283876-3830


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