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Wrexham AFC
League One | Gameweek 41
Apr 5, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
SToK Cae Ras
Burton Albion

Wrexham
3 - 0
Burton Albion

Fletcher (71' pen.), Smith (74'), Marriott (87')
Rathbone (33')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dodgson (49'), Crocombe (90')
Webster (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Wrexham and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambridge 2-2 Wrexham
Tuesday, April 1 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-1 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, April 1 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Wrexham 2-1 Burton Albion

Wrexham enjoyed a strong March, and they will be expecting another three points this weekend against one of the division's relegation candidates. However, Burton have improved this year and considering their away record, as well as their showing against Orient, they will make their hosts work for their points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Wrexham win with a probability of 51.66%. A draw has a probability of 26.1% and a win for Burton Albion has a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Burton Albion win it is 0-1 (8.15%).

Result
WrexhamDrawBurton Albion
51.66% (1.103 1.1) 26.13% (-0.371 -0.37) 22.2% (-0.734 -0.73)
Both teams to score 45.62% (0.18 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.64% (0.66200000000001 0.66)57.36% (-0.666 -0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.82% (0.523 0.52)78.18% (-0.527 -0.53)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.7% (0.764 0.76)22.3% (-0.768 -0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.23% (1.136 1.14)55.76% (-1.139 -1.14)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.71% (-0.35 -0.35)41.28% (0.346 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.19% (-0.311 -0.31)77.81% (0.30800000000001 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 51.65%
    Burton Albion 22.2%
    Draw 26.13%
WrexhamDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 13.81% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.36% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
3-0 @ 5.19% (0.218 0.22)
3-1 @ 4.59% (0.151 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.048 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.95% (0.124 0.12)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 51.65%
1-1 @ 12.22% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 9.21% (-0.237 -0.24)
2-2 @ 4.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 8.15% (-0.289 -0.29)
1-2 @ 5.41% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-2 @ 3.6% (-0.163 -0.16)
1-3 @ 1.59% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 22.2%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Burton Albion

Wrexham
Draw
Burton Albion
Wrexham
90.9%
Draw
9.1%
Burton Albion
0.0%
22
Head to Head
Dec 7, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 19
Burton Albion
0-1
Wrexham

Sraha (34')
Lee (65')
Dec 5, 2023 7.30pm
Second Round
Wrexham
2-3
Burton Albion
Dalby (5'), Davies (90+2')
Davies (26')
Oshilaja (1'), Helm (3'), Sweeney (64')
Sweeney (36'), Hughes (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham433193763046102
2Wrexham442511862342886
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe442412869412884
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4424101064392582
5Stockport CountyStockport442312966392781
6Leyton Orient442261667472072
7Reading4420121264531172
8Bolton WanderersBolton44206186568-366
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield44197185648864
10Blackpool4316151267561163
11Lincoln CityLincoln4416131562511161
12Barnsley441610186469-558
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham441510195157-655
14Stevenage441510194048-855
15Wigan AthleticWigan431314163739-253
16Exeter CityExeter441411194661-1553
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough431311196474-1050
18Northampton TownNorthampton441214184762-1550
19Mansfield TownMansfield43139215367-1448
20Burton Albion431013204561-1643
21Bristol Rovers44127254370-2743
22Crawley TownCrawley441010245282-3040
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge44911244369-2638
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4479283876-3830


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