Bolton

2 - 1

Cambridge

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.