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Cheltenham Town
League Two | Gameweek 16
Dec 5, 2020 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Exeter City

Cheltenham
5 - 3
Exeter

Sercombe (7', 45+3' pen.), May (13'), Williams (77'), Boyle (90+1')
Blair (40'), May (47')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Collins (4'), Jay (56'), Law (88')
Sweeney (45+3')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Cheltenham Town and Exeter City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawExeter City
42.02%26.75%31.24%
Both teams to score 50.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.81%54.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.4%75.6%
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.52%25.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.68%60.32%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.02%31.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.56%68.44%
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 42.02%
    Exeter City 31.24%
    Draw 26.75%
Cheltenham TownDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 11.14%
2-1 @ 8.68%
2-0 @ 7.62%
3-1 @ 3.96%
3-0 @ 3.47%
3-2 @ 2.26%
4-1 @ 1.35%
4-0 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 42.02%
1-1 @ 12.7%
0-0 @ 8.15%
2-2 @ 4.95%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.75%
0-1 @ 9.29%
1-2 @ 7.24%
0-2 @ 5.3%
1-3 @ 2.75%
0-3 @ 2.01%
2-3 @ 1.88%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 31.24%

Head to Head
Apr 4, 2020 3pm
Nov 16, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 18
Exeter
0-0
Cheltenham
Jay (87'), Martin (93')
Varney (72'), Thomas (81')
Sep 3, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Exeter
1-0
Cheltenham
Ajose (5')
Warren (32')
Apr 6, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 41
Cheltenham
1-1
Exeter
Thomas (60' pen.)
Tozer (65')
Moxey (36')
Taylor (47'), Pym (54'), Boateng (97')
Pym (100')
Sep 22, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 9
Exeter
3-1
Cheltenham
Sweeney (46'), Stockley (80'), Forte (88')
Martin (62')
Broom (42')
Forster (63'), Maddox (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137


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