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Cheltenham Town
League Two | Gameweek 16
Dec 5, 2020 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Exeter City

Cheltenham
5 - 3
Exeter

Sercombe (7', 45+3' pen.), May (13'), Williams (77'), Boyle (90+1')
Blair (40'), May (47')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Collins (4'), Jay (56'), Law (88')
Sweeney (45+3')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Cheltenham Town and Exeter City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawExeter City
42.02%26.75%31.24%
Both teams to score 50.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.81%54.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.4%75.6%
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.52%25.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.68%60.32%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.02%31.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.56%68.44%
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 42.02%
    Exeter City 31.24%
    Draw 26.75%
Cheltenham TownDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 11.14%
2-1 @ 8.68%
2-0 @ 7.62%
3-1 @ 3.96%
3-0 @ 3.47%
3-2 @ 2.26%
4-1 @ 1.35%
4-0 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 42.02%
1-1 @ 12.7%
0-0 @ 8.15%
2-2 @ 4.95%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.75%
0-1 @ 9.29%
1-2 @ 7.24%
0-2 @ 5.3%
1-3 @ 2.75%
0-3 @ 2.01%
2-3 @ 1.88%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 31.24%

Head to Head
Apr 4, 2020 3pm
Nov 16, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 18
Exeter
0-0
Cheltenham
Jay (87'), Martin (93')
Varney (72'), Thomas (81')
Sep 3, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Exeter
1-0
Cheltenham
Ajose (5')
Warren (32')
Apr 6, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 41
Cheltenham
1-1
Exeter
Thomas (60' pen.)
Tozer (65')
Moxey (36')
Taylor (47'), Pym (54'), Boateng (97')
Pym (100')
Sep 22, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 9
Exeter
3-1
Cheltenham
Sweeney (46'), Stockley (80'), Forte (88')
Martin (62')
Broom (42')
Forster (63'), Maddox (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513


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