Exeter

6 - 1

Colchester

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 48.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 25.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.