Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 53%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Walsall had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Walsall win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.