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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 12
Nov 14, 2020 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Cheltenham Town

Carlisle
1 - 2
Cheltenham

Mellish (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Boyle (15'), Thomas (36' pen.)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Cheltenham Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
33.92%27.56%38.53%
Both teams to score 48.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.28%56.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.33%77.68%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.56%31.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.18%67.82%
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.42%28.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.62%64.38%
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 33.91%
    Cheltenham Town 38.52%
    Draw 27.56%
Carlisle UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 10.39%
2-1 @ 7.53%
2-0 @ 6.02%
3-1 @ 2.91%
3-0 @ 2.32%
3-2 @ 1.82%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 33.91%
1-1 @ 13.02%
0-0 @ 8.99%
2-2 @ 4.72%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.56%
0-1 @ 11.25%
1-2 @ 8.15%
0-2 @ 7.05%
1-3 @ 3.4%
0-3 @ 2.94%
2-3 @ 1.97%
1-4 @ 1.07%
0-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 38.52%

Head to Head
Feb 11, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Carlisle
0-1
Cheltenham

Jones (46')
Reid (26')
Broom (30')
Aug 20, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Cheltenham
2-0
Carlisle
Reilly (15'), Varney (45')
Tozer (7')

Scougall (35'), Iredale (43'), Thomas (56')
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 29
Carlisle
2-0
Cheltenham
Devitt (49'), Hope (56')

Alcock (35')
Aug 18, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 3
Cheltenham
0-1
Carlisle

Forster (21'), Debayo (43'), Boyle (59'), Tozer (68')
Bennett (39')
Etuhu (32'), Gerrard (36')
Mar 30, 2018 3pm
Cheltenham
0-1
Carlisle

Sellars (24'), Moore (73')
Devitt (74' pen.)
Devitt (29'), Ellis (33'), Bennett (45'), Joyce (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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