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AFC Wimbledon
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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Cheltenham Town
League Two | Gameweek 17
Nov 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Tranmere Rovers

Cheltenham
1 - 0
Tranmere

Colwill (89')
Payne (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)

O'Connor (48'), Norris (68'), Davies (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Cheltenham Town and Tranmere Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 3-2 Cheltenham
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 0-2 Tranmere
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Cheltenham Town 1-1 Tranmere Rovers

With just one point separating the two sides, we expect Friday's contest to be a closely-fought affair, and with that in mind, we think that Cheltenham may have to settle for a draw for a third consecutive home match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cheltenham Town in this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawTranmere Rovers
40.19% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07) 26.22% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 33.58% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 53.07% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.52% (0.036000000000001 0.04)51.47% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.72% (0.030999999999999 0.03)73.28% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.79% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)25.2% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.06% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)59.94% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.96% (0.067999999999998 0.07)29.04% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.06% (0.084000000000003 0.08)64.94% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 40.18%
    Tranmere Rovers 33.58%
    Draw 26.22%
Cheltenham TownDrawTranmere Rovers
1-0 @ 10.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.59% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.95% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.44%
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 40.18%
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 7.32% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 9.05% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.71% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.6% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.18% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 33.58%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Tranmere

Cheltenham Town
38.2%
Draw
41.2%
Tranmere Rovers
20.6%
34
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 39
Cheltenham
4-0
Tranmere
Thomas (4'), Boyle (14'), May (42'), Wright (57')
Sercombe (35'), Smith (52')

O'Connor (45+3')
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 2
Tranmere
0-3
Cheltenham

Vaughan (44'), Lewis (90+1')
Raglan (6'), Williams (20'), Lewis (39' og.)
Blair (88'), Sercombe (88')
Jan 12, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 28
Cheltenham
1-3
Tranmere
Varney (42')
Broom (24')
Norwood (46'), Miller (61'), Banks (72')
Banks (39'), McCullough (69'), Harris (83')
Aug 11, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 2
Tranmere
1-0
Cheltenham
Norwood (13')
McNulty (71')
Feb 20, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham209382218430
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
17BarrowBarrow196581818023
18Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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