Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.