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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Colchester United | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
46.21% ( -0.69) | 24.95% ( 0.46) | 28.84% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 55.12% ( -1.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.14% ( -1.87) | 47.86% ( 1.87) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.96% ( -1.75) | 70.04% ( 1.75) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.25% ( -1.05) | 20.76% ( 1.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.61% ( -1.68) | 53.39% ( 1.68) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.56% ( -0.8) | 30.44% ( 0.8) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.36% ( -0.96) | 66.64% ( 0.96) |
Score Analysis |
Colchester United | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
1-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.45) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.66% Total : 46.21% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.95% | 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.08% Total : 28.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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