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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Cheltenham Town

Carlisle
0 - 1
Cheltenham


Robson (46'), Neal (69'), Mellish (82'), Sadi (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Archer (17')
Stubbs (29'), Young (55'), Payne (90')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Cheltenham Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 3-1 Carlisle
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-1 Bradford
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cheltenham Town in this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
35.47% (0.082000000000001 0.08) 25.25% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 39.28% (-0.103 -0.1)
Both teams to score 56.74% (-0.067 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.08% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)46.92% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.83% (-0.084 -0.08)69.17% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.29% (0.0040000000000049 0)25.71% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.37% (0.009999999999998 0.01)60.63% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.37% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)23.63% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.28% (-0.135 -0.13)57.72% (0.134 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 35.47%
    Cheltenham Town 39.28%
    Draw 25.25%
Carlisle UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 8.25% (0.032 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.09% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.61% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.66% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.54% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 35.47%
1-1 @ 11.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.08% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 8.76% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.59% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.32% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.13% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.04% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 39.28%

Head to Head
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Cheltenham
0-1
Carlisle
Lavelle (42')
Huntington (7'), Robinson (78'), Lavelle (85')
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Carlisle
0-1
Cheltenham

Lavelle (38'), Moxon (67')
Sercombe (27')
Bonds (40'), Freestone (82'), Long (90+5')
Apr 27, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 28
Cheltenham
1-1
Carlisle
Hussey (56')
Kayode (33')
Hayden (73'), Mellish (87'), Anderton (90+4')
Nov 14, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 12
Carlisle
1-2
Cheltenham
Mellish (45+3')
Boyle (15'), Thomas (36' pen.)
Feb 11, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Carlisle
0-1
Cheltenham

Jones (46')
Reid (26')
Broom (30')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham209382218430
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
17BarrowBarrow196581818023
18Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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