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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | Grimsby Town | 7 | 2 | 12 |
10 | Crewe Alexandra | 8 | 1 | 12 |
11 | Swindon Town | 8 | 1 | 11 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
19 | Harrogate Town | 8 | -5 | 7 |
20 | Crawley Town | 8 | -4 | 6 |
21 | Colchester United | 8 | -5 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Crawley Town |
36.09% ( -0.49) | 25.76% ( 0.07) | 38.14% ( 0.43) |
Both teams to score 55.02% ( -0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.85% ( -0.31) | 49.15% ( 0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.78% ( -0.28) | 71.22% ( 0.28) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.6% ( -0.42) | 26.39% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.45% ( -0.57) | 61.55% ( 0.57) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.75% ( 0.09) | 25.24% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40% ( 0.13) | 60% ( -0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Crawley Town |
1-0 @ 8.88% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.63% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.24% Total : 36.09% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.41% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.6% Total : 38.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |