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Championship header 2

League Two
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Stevenage

Crewe
1 - 2
Stevenage

McDonald (27')
King (41'), Thomas (76'), Baker-Richardson (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Reid (48', 67')
Sweeney (37'), Reeves (85')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Stevenage.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

Last Six:
Last Game: Bolton 4-1 Crewe
Tuesday, August 30 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Stevenage

Last Six:
Last Game: Peterborough 1-2 Stevenage
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawStevenage
30.56% (-0.506 -0.51) 26.99% (-0.568 -0.57) 42.45% (1.076 1.08)
Both teams to score 49.68% (1.474 1.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.65% (1.97 1.97)55.35% (-1.97 -1.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.44% (1.591 1.59)76.56% (-1.591 -1.59)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.94% (0.661 0.66)33.05% (-0.661 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.35% (0.724 0.72)69.65% (-0.724 -0.72)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.21% (1.483 1.48)25.78% (-1.483 -1.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.27% (1.967 1.97)60.73% (-1.965 -1.97)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 30.56%
    Stevenage 42.45%
    Draw 26.98%
Crewe AlexandraDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 9.44% (-0.56 -0.56)
2-1 @ 7.08% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.22% (-0.211 -0.21)
3-1 @ 2.61% (0.053 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.93% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.77% (0.108 0.11)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 30.56%
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-0 @ 8.52% (-0.671 -0.67)
2-2 @ 4.8% (0.21 0.21)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.98%
0-1 @ 11.55% (-0.39 -0.39)
1-2 @ 8.67% (0.228 0.23)
0-2 @ 7.83% (0.067 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.92% (0.26 0.26)
0-3 @ 3.54% (0.175 0.18)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.18 0.18)
1-4 @ 1.33% (0.139 0.14)
0-4 @ 1.2% (0.107 0.11)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 42.45%

Head to Head
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Crewe
3-1
Stevenage
Porter (15'), Kirk (63'), Wintle (67')
Carter (90')
Lakin (57'), Mackail-Smith (75')
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Stevenage
1-5
Crewe
Cuthbert (84')
Cuthbert (28'), Sonupe (91')
Anene (29', 65'), Finney (32'), Powell (57'), Cuthbert (70' og.)
Dec 29, 2018 3pm
Crewe
1-0
Stevenage
Porter (21' pen.)
Ray (60')

Guthrie (74'), Kennedy (79')
Reid (79')
Oct 20, 2018 3pm
Stevenage
0-1
Crewe

Nugent (12')
Bowery (61')
Ainley (14'), Jones (64'), Kirk (78')
Mar 10, 2018 3pm
Stevenage
2-2
Crewe
Bowditch (14', 50')
Sheaf (57'), Newton (65')
Ng (80'), Kirk (90')
Ray (70'), Miller (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137
> League Two Full Table


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