League Two

League Two | Gameweek 5

Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK

The People's Pension Stadium

Crawley
0 - 2
AFC Wimbledon

Omole (25'), Craig (45')
Craig (55')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Young-Coombes (15'), Chislett (45+1')
Davison (37'), Brown (72')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Crawley Town and AFC Wimbledon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Crawley 2-3 Northampton
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
21	Hartlepool United	4	-5	2
22	Crawley Town	4	-3	1
23	Newport County	4	-4	1

AFC Wimbledon

Last Six:

Last Game: Mansfield 5-2 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Carlisle United	4	1	6
12	AFC Wimbledon	4	-1	5
13	Grimsby Town	4	-1	5

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 48.01%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 24.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Crawley Town	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
48.01% ( 3.35)	27.19% ( -1.02)	24.79% ( -2.33)

Both teams to score 45.39% (

0.95)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.98% (

2.1)

59.02% (

-2.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.51% (

1.6)

79.49% (

-1.6)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.32% (

2.63)

24.67% (

-2.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.8% (

3.54)

59.2% (

-3.54)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.25% (

-0.87)

39.75% (

0.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.58% (

-0.81)

76.42% (

0.81)

Score Analysis

Crawley Town 48.01%

AFC Wimbledon 24.8%

Draw 27.19%

Crawley Town	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 13.72% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.66) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.41) 3-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.61) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( 0.48) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.18) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.31) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.26) Other @ 2.29% Total : 48.01%	1-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.35) 0-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.8) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.64% Total : 27.19%	0-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.97) 1-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.31) 0-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.56) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.39% Total : 24.8%