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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 43.02%. A win for had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%).
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
43.02% | 25.28% | 31.7% |
Both teams to score 55.6% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.06% | 47.93% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.89% | 70.11% |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.76% | 22.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.34% | 55.66% |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.49% | 28.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.72% | 64.28% |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 9.53% 2-1 @ 8.99% 2-0 @ 7.16% 3-1 @ 4.51% 3-0 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 2.83% 4-1 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.35% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.31% Total : 43.02% | 1-1 @ 11.96% 0-0 @ 6.34% 2-2 @ 5.64% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 7.95% 1-2 @ 7.51% 0-2 @ 4.99% 1-3 @ 3.14% 2-3 @ 2.36% 0-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.68% Total : 31.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |