League Two

League Two | 1st Leg

May 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

One Call Stadium

Mansfield
2 - 1
Northampton

(Mansfield Town win 3-1 on aggregate)

Oates (13'), Bowery (32')
Maris (50'), Perch (61')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Koiki (61')
McWilliams (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mansfield Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Mansfield 0-3 Port Vale
Saturday, May 28 at 4pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Swindon Town	46	23	77
7	Mansfield Town	46	15	77
8	Sutton United	46	16	76

Northampton Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Mansfield
Wednesday, May 18 at 7.45pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Bristol Rovers	46	22	80
4	Northampton Town	46	22	80
5	Port Vale	46	21	78

We said: Mansfield Town 2-1 Northampton Town

Despite their lengthy unbeaten streak, Saturday could have taken a lot out of Northampton. Even with Mansfield having failed to win either of their last two fixtures, we feel that the home side should capitalise on the mindset of their opponents to claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mansfield Town.

Result
Mansfield Town	Draw	Northampton Town
42.03%	26.55%	31.41%

Both teams to score 51.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.64%

53.36%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.1%

74.9%

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.9%

25.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.21%

59.79%

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.57%

31.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.2%

67.8%

Score Analysis

Mansfield Town 42.03%

Northampton Town 31.41%

Draw 26.55%

Mansfield Town	Draw	Northampton Town
1-0 @ 10.9% 2-1 @ 8.72% 2-0 @ 7.54% 3-1 @ 4.02% 3-0 @ 3.47% 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.39% 4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.46% Total : 42.03%	1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 7.89% 2-2 @ 5.05% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.55%	0-1 @ 9.13% 1-2 @ 7.3% 0-2 @ 5.28% 1-3 @ 2.82% 0-3 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 1.95% Other @ 2.89% Total : 31.41%