Coverage of the League Two clash between Northampton Town and Harrogate Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Mansfield
Wednesday, May 18 at 7.45pm in League Two
Wednesday, May 18 at 7.45pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 22 | 80 |
| 4 | Northampton Town | 46 | 22 | 80 |
| 5 | Port Vale | 46 | 21 | 78 |
Last Game: Harrogate 0-2 Sutton
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Rochdale | 46 | -8 | 53 |
| 19 | Harrogate Town | 46 | -11 | 53 |
| 20 | Carlisle United | 46 | -23 | 53 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 50.45%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 24.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 50.45% | 25.41% | 24.14% |
| Both teams to score 49.74% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
