League Two

League Two | 2nd Leg

May 18, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Sixfields Stadium

Northampton
0 - 1
Mansfield

(Mansfield Town win 3-1 on aggregate)

Pinnock (87'), Horsfall (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

McLaughlin (32')
O'Toole (53'), Wallace (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League Two clash between Northampton Town and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Mansfield
Wednesday, May 18 at 7.45pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Bristol Rovers	46	22	80
4	Northampton Town	46	22	80
5	Port Vale	46	21	78

Mansfield Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Mansfield 0-3 Port Vale
Saturday, May 28 at 4pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Swindon Town	46	23	77
7	Mansfield Town	46	15	77
8	Sutton United	46	16	76

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Mansfield Town (Mansfield to win 3-2 on aggregate)

Having kept themselves in the tie, Northampton will fancy their chances when it comes to using home territory to their advantage. However, we feel that Mansfield will do just enough on Wednesday evening to come through this tie, potentially benefitting from a goal in the first half on the break. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 36.08%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.74%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match.

Result
Northampton Town	Draw	Mansfield Town
35.89% ( 0.01)	28.04% ( -0.34)	36.08% ( 0.34)

Both teams to score 47.7% (

1.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.62% (

1.25)

58.38% (

-1.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.02% (

0.97)

78.99% (

-0.96)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69% (

0.64)

31% (

-0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.7% (

0.74)

67.31% (

-0.73)

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.12% (

0.85)

30.88% (

-0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.84% (

0.98)

67.17% (

-0.97)

Score Analysis

Northampton Town 35.89%

Mansfield Town 36.07%

Draw 28.03%

Northampton Town	Draw	Mansfield Town
1-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.33) 2-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.05% Total : 35.89%	1-1 @ 13.17% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.46) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.76% Total : 28.03%	0-1 @ 11.24% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 7.74% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 6.61% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.09% Total : 36.07%