League Two

League Two | Gameweek 42

Apr 15, 2022 at 3pm UK

Boundary Park

Oldham
0 - 2
Northampton

Jameson (90')
Piergianni (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Guthrie (44'), Appere (66')
Sowerby (64'), Rose (84'), Hoskins (90'), Horsfall (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Oldham Athletic and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oldham Athletic

Last Six:

Last Game: Oldham 3-3 Crawley
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
22	Barrow	46	-13	44
23	Oldham Athletic	46	-29	38
24	Scunthorpe United	46	-61	26

Northampton Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Mansfield
Wednesday, May 18 at 7.45pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Bristol Rovers	46	22	80
4	Northampton Town	46	22	80
5	Port Vale	46	21	78

We said: Oldham Athletic 1-2 Northampton Town

Both teams are desperately fighting for points at the moment for different reasons, but it should set up a close encounter this Friday. However, the quality of Northampton Town should be enough to see them through in this particular game, even though they have struggled in their most recent matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Oldham Athletic	Draw	Northampton Town
30.81%	26.78%	42.41%

Both teams to score 50.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.54%

54.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.17%

75.82%

Oldham Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.58%

32.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.06%

68.93%

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.6%

25.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.79%

60.21%

Score Analysis

Oldham Athletic 30.81%

Northampton Town 42.41%

Draw 26.78%

Oldham Athletic	Draw	Northampton Town
1-0 @ 9.28% 2-1 @ 7.16% 2-0 @ 5.22% 3-1 @ 2.69% 3-0 @ 1.96% 3-2 @ 1.84% Other @ 2.66% Total : 30.81%	1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 8.23% 2-2 @ 4.91% Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.78%	0-1 @ 11.28% 1-2 @ 8.71% 0-2 @ 7.73% 1-3 @ 3.98% 0-3 @ 3.53% 2-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.36% 0-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.36% Total : 42.41%