Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 36.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.
