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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 43.37%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Morecambe |
43.37% | 27.71% | 28.92% |
Both teams to score 46.82% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.38% | 58.62% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.82% | 79.17% |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.19% | 26.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.9% | 62.1% |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.97% | 36.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.19% | 72.81% |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Morecambe |
1-0 @ 12.71% 2-1 @ 8.54% 2-0 @ 8.37% 3-1 @ 3.75% 3-0 @ 3.67% 3-2 @ 1.91% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.96% Total : 43.36% | 1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 9.66% 2-2 @ 4.36% Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.71% | 0-1 @ 9.86% 1-2 @ 6.63% 0-2 @ 5.03% 1-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 1.95% Total : 28.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gillingham | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Walsall | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 18 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 16 |
4 | Notts County | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Port Vale | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
10 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 12 |
12 | Newport CountyNewport | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 11 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Salford City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 9 |
18 | Bromley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
19 | MK Dons | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 6 |
23 | Morecambe | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
24 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
> League Two Full Table |