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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Morecambe | Draw | Port Vale |
27.65% | 26.18% | 46.16% |
Both teams to score 50.45% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.42% | 53.58% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.91% | 75.09% |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.66% | 34.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.96% | 71.04% |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.83% | 23.17% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.94% | 57.06% |
Score Analysis |
Morecambe | Draw | Port Vale |
1-0 @ 8.51% 2-1 @ 6.65% 2-0 @ 4.55% 3-1 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 1.73% 3-0 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.23% Total : 27.65% | 1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 7.96% 2-2 @ 4.86% Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 11.63% 1-2 @ 9.09% 0-2 @ 8.51% 1-3 @ 4.43% 0-3 @ 4.15% 2-3 @ 2.37% 1-4 @ 1.62% 0-4 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.85% Total : 46.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gillingham | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Walsall | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 18 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 16 |
4 | Notts County | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Port Vale | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
10 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 12 |
12 | Newport CountyNewport | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 11 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Salford City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 9 |
18 | Bromley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
19 | MK Dons | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 6 |
23 | Morecambe | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
24 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
> League Two Full Table |