Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 51.05%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 21.89%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlas would win this match.