Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Jul 22, 2024 at 2.05am UK
Estadio Leon
Club Leon1 - 1Necaxa
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Puebla 2-2 Club Leon
Wednesday, July 17 at 4am in Liga MX
Wednesday, July 17 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 0-1 Monterrey
Thursday, July 18 at 2am in Liga MX
Thursday, July 18 at 2am in Liga MX
We said: Club Leon 2-0 Necaxa
Neither side have been particularly sharp to this point of the Apertura season, but the inconsistency of Necaxa away from home has us leaning towards Leon in this match. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 59.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Club Leon | Draw | Necaxa |
59.75% ( 0.1) | 21.55% ( -0.03) | 18.7% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 54.2% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
