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Liga MX | Gameweek 10
Mar 3, 2024 at 1.05am UK
Estadio Azteca

Cruz Azul
3 - 0
Guadalajara

Faravelli (7'), Uriel (27', 33')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Gonzalez (78'), Briseno (81')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and CD Guadalajara.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: America 1-0 Cruz Azul
Sunday, February 25 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 3-1 Pumas
Sunday, February 25 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.

Result
Cruz AzulDrawCD Guadalajara
43.33% (-0.63699999999999 -0.64) 26.25% (0.062999999999999 0.06) 30.41% (0.577 0.58)
Both teams to score 51.86% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.48% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)52.52% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.81% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)74.19% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.93% (-0.319 -0.32)24.07% (0.323 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.65% (-0.459 -0.46)58.35% (0.462 0.46)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.3% (0.40700000000001 0.41)31.7% (-0.404 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.88% (0.463 0.46)68.12% (-0.459 -0.46)
Score Analysis
    Cruz Azul 43.33%
    CD Guadalajara 30.41%
    Draw 26.25%
Cruz AzulDrawCD Guadalajara
1-0 @ 10.86% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.74% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.22% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.67% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.5% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 43.33%
1-1 @ 12.48% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 8.77% (0.104 0.1)
1-2 @ 7.17% (0.097 0.1)
0-2 @ 5.04% (0.114 0.11)
1-3 @ 2.75% (0.067 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.93% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 30.41%

Head to Head
Nov 5, 2023 3.05am
Gameweek 16
Guadalajara
1-0
Cruz Azul
Padilla (90+7')
Gutierrez (39')

Castano (41'), Sepulveda (68'), Ditta (90+2')
Apr 23, 2023 2.05am
Gameweek 16
Guadalajara
2-1
Cruz Azul
Uriel (37')
Oct 2, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 17
Cruz Azul
2-1
Guadalajara
Uriel (45+2'), Estrada (90+3')
Flores (69')
Apr 17, 2022 3am
Gameweek 14
Cruz Azul
0-1
Guadalajara
Calderon (58')
Oct 24, 2021 3am
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul108112381525
2TolucaToluca1063121101121
3Tigres10631146821
4MonterreyMonterrey116321513221
5Club TijuanaTijuana116231717020
6PumasPumas106131410419
7Atletico San Luis115241813517
8CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara10433158715
9Atlas104241215-314
10NecaxaNecaxa10343138513
11Club AmericaAmerica104151212013
12PueblaPuebla113261419-511
13PachucaPachuca112361119-89
14QueretaroQueretaro12237920-119
15MazatlanMazatlan11155813-58
16Club Leon101541016-68
17Santos LagunaSantos Laguna10226917-88
18Juarez102171223-117


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