Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Jan 31, 2024 at 3.05am UK
Estadio AKRON
Guadalajara3 - 2Toluca
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Toluca.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tijuana 1-1 Guadalajara
Saturday, January 27 at 3am in Liga MX
Saturday, January 27 at 3am in Liga MX
Next Game: Atletico San Luis vs. Guadalajara
Monday, February 5 at 1am in Liga MX
Monday, February 5 at 1am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
23
Last Game: Puebla 1-1 Toluca
Saturday, January 27 at 1am in Liga MX
Saturday, January 27 at 1am in Liga MX
Next Game: Toluca vs. Club Leon
Saturday, February 3 at 11pm in Liga MX
Saturday, February 3 at 11pm in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
24
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 44.24%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CD Guadalajara | Draw | Toluca |
44.24% ( -0.08) | 24.23% ( 0.02) | 31.53% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 59.12% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.7% ( -0.07) | 43.3% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.3% ( -0.07) | 65.7% ( 0.06) |
| CD Guadalajara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.25% ( -0.06) | 19.75% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.22% ( -0.1) | 51.78% ( 0.09) |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.66% | 26.33% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.53% ( 0) | 61.47% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
CD Guadalajara 44.24%
Toluca 31.53%
Draw 24.22%
| CD Guadalajara | Draw | Toluca |
| 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.06% Total : 44.24% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.22% | 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.33% Total : 31.53% |
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2023 3.10am
Sep 4, 2022 11.30pm
Gameweek 12
Toluca
0-0
Guadalajara
Apr 10, 2022 1am
Gameweek 13
Toluca
1-1
Guadalajara
