Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Pumas had a probability of 22.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Pumas win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.
-0.46) 
0.12) 
