Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 1-0 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.