Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 66.75%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 12.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.93%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
