MX23RW : Tuesday, October 1 11:05:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
Liga MX | Gameweek 2
Jan 15, 2023 at 1.05am UK
Estadio Nemesio Díez

Toluca
2 - 2
America

Gonzalez (8'), Orrantia (23')
Baeza (41'), Orrantia (89')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Rodriguez (16'), Martin (76' pen.)
Aquino (36'), Jimenez (90+2')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Club America.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pachuca 3-1 Toluca
Monday, October 31 at 1.36am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 0-0 Queretaro
Saturday, January 7 at 11pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 52.14%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Toluca win was 2-1 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
TolucaDrawClub America
24.83% (0.073 0.07) 23.03% (0.082000000000001 0.08) 52.14% (-0.153 -0.15)
Both teams to score 58.06% (-0.196 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.61% (-0.297 -0.3)42.39% (0.3 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.21% (-0.298 -0.3)64.79% (0.301 0.3)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.37% (-0.10000000000001 -0.1)30.63% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.13% (-0.117 -0.12)66.87% (0.12 0.12)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.69% (-0.161 -0.16)16.31% (0.164 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.12% (-0.295 -0.3)45.88% (0.298 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 24.83%
    Club America 52.14%
    Draw 23.03%
TolucaDrawClub America
2-1 @ 6.34% (0.014 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.91% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 3.5% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.5% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.38% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 24.83%
1-1 @ 10.71% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.99% (0.067 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.03%
1-2 @ 9.72% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-1 @ 9.06% (0.071 0.07)
0-2 @ 8.21% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.88% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.97% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.48% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.66% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-4 @ 2.25% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.58% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-5 @ 0.97% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 52.14%

Head to Head
Oct 23, 2022 2.06am
America
1-1
Toluca
Zendejas (35')
Torres (29')
Ruiz (8')
Oct 20, 2022 3.06am
Toluca
2-1
America
Ortega (23'), Fernandez (42' pen.)
Lara (79')
Sanchez (23')
Jul 14, 2022 3am
Mar 20, 2022 11pm
America
3-0
Toluca
Martinez (7'), Valdes (15'), Zendejas (18')

Huerta (12'), Baeza (14'), Fernandez (67')
Sep 19, 2021 1am
Toluca
3-1
America
Ortega (2', 61'), Samudio (39')
Baeza (22'), Rigonato Rodrigues (49'), Gonzalez (81'), Sambueza (90')
Baeza (56')
Martin (6')
Vinas (11'), Valdez (45+2'), Layun (65'), Caceres (80'), Madrigal (83'), Ochoa (84')
Caceres (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Titans
31-12
Dolphins
FT
Seahawks
29-42
Lions
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul108112381525
2TolucaToluca1063121101121
3Tigres10631146821
4MonterreyMonterrey116321513221
5PumasPumas106131410419
6Atletico San Luis115241813517
7Club TijuanaTijuana105231516-117
8CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara10433158715
9Atlas104241215-314
10NecaxaNecaxa10343138513
11Club AmericaAmerica104151212013
12PueblaPuebla113261419-511
13PachucaPachuca102351017-79
14Club Leon101541016-68
15Santos LagunaSantos Laguna10226917-88
16QueretaroQueretaro11227718-118
17MazatlanMazatlan10145611-57
18Juarez102171223-117


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!