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Liga MX | Gameweek 11
Mar 20, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio Azteca

America
3 - 0
Toluca

Martinez (7'), Valdes (15'), Zendejas (18')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Huerta (12'), Baeza (14'), Fernandez (67')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club America and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pachuca 3-0 America
Monday, May 23 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Next Game: America vs. Atlas
Sunday, July 3 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Club Leon 4-4 Toluca
Monday, May 2 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Next Game: Necaxa vs. Toluca
Saturday, July 2 at 1am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 55.24%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
Club AmericaDrawToluca
55.24%24.96%19.8%
Both teams to score 45.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.4%55.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.24%76.77%
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.9%20.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.65%52.35%
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.19%42.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.87%79.13%
Score Analysis
    Club America 55.22%
    Toluca 19.8%
    Draw 24.96%
Club AmericaDrawToluca
1-0 @ 13.8%
2-0 @ 11.07%
2-1 @ 9.4%
3-0 @ 5.92%
3-1 @ 5.03%
4-0 @ 2.38%
3-2 @ 2.13%
4-1 @ 2.02%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 55.22%
1-1 @ 11.71%
0-0 @ 8.61%
2-2 @ 3.99%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 7.3%
1-2 @ 4.97%
0-2 @ 3.1%
1-3 @ 1.41%
2-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 19.8%

Head to Head
Sep 19, 2021 1am
Toluca
3-1
America
Ortega (2', 61'), Samudio (39')
Baeza (22'), Rigonato Rodrigues (49'), Gonzalez (81'), Sambueza (90')
Baeza (56')
Martin (6')
Vinas (11'), Valdez (45+2'), Layun (65'), Caceres (80'), Madrigal (83'), Ochoa (84')
Caceres (84')
Apr 25, 2021 11.30pm
Toluca
3-1
America
Estrada (8'), Lopez (11'), Canelo (73')
Lopez (18'), Torres (45+2')
Aguilera (49' pen.)
Valdez (34'), Sanchez (86')
Sep 13, 2020 3am
America
1-1
Toluca
Vinas (20')
Caceres (56'), Sanchez (61')
Sartiaguin (29')
Sartiaguin (37'), Abella (63')
Apr 11, 2020 11pm
Aug 11, 2019 6pm
Toluca
0-1
America

Mora (4'), Pardo (32')
Ibarra (63')
Martinez (20'), Sanchez (31'), Valdez (40'), Vargas (48'), Ibarra (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Steelers
19-24
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul17133139122742
2TolucaToluca17105238162235
3Tigres17104325151034
4PumasPumas179442113831
5MonterreyMonterrey179442619731
6Atletico San Luis179352719830
7Club TijuanaTijuana178542425-129
8Club AmericaAmerica178362721627
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara177462415925
10Atlas175751723-622
11Club Leon173952123-218
12Juarez1752102236-1417
13NecaxaNecaxa173682026-615
14MazatlanMazatlan172871019-914
15PueblaPuebla1742111731-1414
16PachucaPachuca1734102029-913
17QueretaroQueretaro1733111331-1812
18Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1724111230-1810


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