Liga MX | 2nd Leg

Oct 31, 2022 at 1.36am UK

Estadio Hidalgo

Pachuca
3 - 1
Toluca

(Pachuca win 8-2 on aggregate)

Alfonso Guzman Guzman (45+3'), Ibanez (51'), Cabral (75' pen.)
Cabral (27'), Ibanez (49'), Chavez (63')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Lopez (21')
Lopez (11'), Ortega (50'), Meneses (60'), Sanvezzo (66')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Live Updates

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pachuca and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 65.71%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 14.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.

Result
Pachuca	Draw	Toluca
65.71% ( 0.14)	20% ( 0.08)	14.29% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 49.63% (

-0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.49% (

-0.8)

44.51% (

0.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.12% (

-0.78)

66.88% (

0.78)

Pachuca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.29% (

-0.2)

12.71% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.07% (

-0.42)

38.92% (

0.42)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.86% (

-0.8)

43.14% (

0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.59% (

-0.68)

79.4% (

0.68)

Score Analysis

Pachuca 65.7%

Toluca 14.29%

Draw 20%

Pachuca	Draw	Toluca
2-0 @ 11.66% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 11.3% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.11% Total : 65.7%	1-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.89% Total : 20%	0-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.47% Total : 14.29%