Liga MX | 2nd Leg
Oct 31, 2022 at 1.36am UK
Estadio Hidalgo
Pachuca3 - 1Toluca
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pachuca and Toluca.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 65.71%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 14.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pachuca | Draw | Toluca |
65.71% ( 0.14) | 20% ( 0.08) | 14.29% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 49.63% ( -0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
