Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Brest had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Metz | Draw | Brest |
39.7% | 27.53% | 32.77% |
Both teams to score 48.81% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.2% | 56.8% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.26% | 77.74% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.05% | 27.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.42% | 63.58% |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.75% | 32.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.25% | 68.74% |
Score Analysis |
Metz | Draw | Brest |
1-0 @ 11.49% 2-1 @ 8.29% 2-0 @ 7.32% 3-1 @ 3.52% 3-0 @ 3.11% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.12% 4-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.86% Total : 39.7% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 9.01% 2-2 @ 4.69% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.53% | 0-1 @ 10.19% 1-2 @ 7.36% 0-2 @ 5.77% 1-3 @ 2.78% 0-3 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.72% Total : 32.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 18 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 48 | 16 | 32 | 46 |
2 | Marseille | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 37 |
3 | Lille | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 32 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Nice | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Lyon | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
7 | Lens | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Brest | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 25 |
10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 24 |
11 | Auxerre | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Angers | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
13 | Reims | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 |
14 | Rennes | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 38 | -21 | 17 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 13 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 12 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |