Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Brest had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.
