Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-2 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.
Result | ||
Reims | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
47.75% ( -0.05) | 23.66% ( 0.09) | 28.58% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 59.32% ( -0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.74% ( -0.48) | 42.25% ( 0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.34% ( -0.48) | 64.65% ( 0.47) |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.11% ( -0.21) | 17.89% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.32% ( -0.35) | 48.67% ( 0.35) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.24% ( -0.28) | 27.75% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.67% ( -0.36) | 63.32% ( 0.35) |
Score Analysis |
Reims | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.71% Total : 47.75% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.66% | 1-2 @ 7.02% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.84% Total : 28.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Reims | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |