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Ligue 1
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 2
Aug 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Parc des Princes
Montpellier

PSG
6 - 0
Montpellier

Barcola (4', 53'), Asensio (24'), Hakimi (58'), Zaire-Emery (60'), Kang-in (82')
Dembele (55')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Sacko (33'), Chotard (45+2'), Kouyate (50'), Khazri (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 1-4 PSG
Friday, August 16 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, August 18 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-0 Montpellier HSC

 Despite only just getting over the line last weekend, PSG should have little difficulty in seeing off a side with such a poor recent record against them. Montpellier have not won a league game in Paris since the final day of the 2009-10 season, when they finished 22 points above PSG in what was a very different era for the club from the capital, and that run is likely to continue here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 72.43%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 11.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 3-0 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.97%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawMontpellier HSC
72.43% (2.98 2.98) 15.73% (-0.338 -0.34) 11.84% (-2.643 -2.64)
Both teams to score 58.23% (-7.301 -7.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.04% (-5.229 -5.23)29.96% (5.228 5.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.86% (-6.578 -6.58)51.14% (6.577 6.58)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.79% (-0.687 -0.69)7.21% (0.687 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.84% (-1.845 -1.85)26.16% (1.845 1.85)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.75% (-7.35 -7.35)37.24% (7.35 7.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.97% (-8.04 -8.04)74.03% (8.04 8.04)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 72.43%
    Montpellier HSC 11.84%
    Draw 15.73%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawMontpellier HSC
2-0 @ 9.28% (2.019 2.02)
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.398 0.4)
3-0 @ 8.14% (1.527 1.53)
3-1 @ 8.04% (0.055 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.06% (1.739 1.74)
4-0 @ 5.35% (0.838 0.84)
4-1 @ 5.29% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-2 @ 3.97% (-0.85 -0.85)
5-0 @ 2.82% (0.35 0.35)
5-1 @ 2.78% (-0.196 -0.2)
4-2 @ 2.61% (-0.68 -0.68)
5-2 @ 1.37% (-0.424 -0.42)
6-0 @ 1.23% (0.112 0.11)
6-1 @ 1.22% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 72.43%
1-1 @ 6.97% (0.549 0.55)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.768 -0.77)
0-0 @ 2.68% (0.736 0.74)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.633 -0.63)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 15.73%
1-2 @ 3.44% (-0.435 -0.44)
0-1 @ 2.65% (0.298 0.3)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.641 -0.64)
0-2 @ 1.31% (-0.112 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.13% (-0.427 -0.43)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 11.84%

How you voted: PSG vs Montpellier

Paris Saint-Germain
91.8%
Draw
7.6%
Montpellier HSC
0.6%
158
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Montpellier
2-6
PSG
Nordin (30'), Savanier (45+2' pen.)
Vitinha (14'), Mbappe (22', 50', 63'), Kang-in (53'), Mendes (89')
Beraldo (38'), Donnarumma (45+2'), Mendes (72')
> Preview
Nov 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 11
PSG
3-0
Montpellier
Kang-in (10'), Zaire-Emery (58'), Vitinha (66')
Mukiele (82')
> Preview
Feb 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 21
Montpellier
1-3
PSG
Nordin (89')
Ruiz (55'), Messi (72'), Zaire-Emery (90+2')
> Preview
Aug 13, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 2
PSG
5-2
Montpellier
Sacko (39' og.), Neymar (43' pen., 51'), Mbappe (69'), Sanches (87')
Kimpembe (60'), Vitinha (66')
Khazri (58'), Tchato Mbiayi (90+1')
Wahi (63')
> Preview
May 14, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 37
Montpellier
0-4
PSG

Souquet (41'), Ferri (89')
Messi (6', 20'), Di Maria (26'), Mbappe (60' pen.)
Herrera (34'), Simons (70'), Mbappe (85'), Marquinhos (90+2')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG15114040122837
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1593324121230
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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