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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 2
Aug 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Parc des Princes
Montpellier

PSG
6 - 0
Montpellier

Barcola (4', 53'), Asensio (24'), Hakimi (58'), Zaire-Emery (60'), Kang-in (82')
Dembele (55')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Sacko (33'), Chotard (45+2'), Kouyate (50'), Khazri (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Le Havre 1-4 PSG
Friday, August 16 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-0 Montpellier HSC

Despite only just getting over the line last weekend, PSG should have little difficulty in seeing off a side with such a poor recent record against them. Montpellier have not won a league game in Paris since the final day of the 2009-10 season, when they finished 22 points above PSG in what was a very different era for the club from the capital, and that run is likely to continue here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 72.43%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 11.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 3-0 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.97%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawMontpellier HSC
72.43% (2.98 2.98) 15.73% (-0.338 -0.34) 11.84% (-2.643 -2.64)
Both teams to score 58.23% (-7.301 -7.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.04% (-5.229 -5.23)29.96% (5.228 5.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.86% (-6.578 -6.58)51.14% (6.577 6.58)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.79% (-0.687 -0.69)7.21% (0.687 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.84% (-1.845 -1.85)26.16% (1.845 1.85)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.75% (-7.35 -7.35)37.24% (7.35 7.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.97% (-8.04 -8.04)74.03% (8.04 8.04)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 72.43%
    Montpellier HSC 11.84%
    Draw 15.73%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawMontpellier HSC
2-0 @ 9.28% (2.019 2.02)
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.398 0.4)
3-0 @ 8.14% (1.527 1.53)
3-1 @ 8.04% (0.055 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.06% (1.739 1.74)
4-0 @ 5.35% (0.838 0.84)
4-1 @ 5.29% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-2 @ 3.97% (-0.85 -0.85)
5-0 @ 2.82% (0.35 0.35)
5-1 @ 2.78% (-0.196 -0.2)
4-2 @ 2.61% (-0.68 -0.68)
5-2 @ 1.37% (-0.424 -0.42)
6-0 @ 1.23% (0.112 0.11)
6-1 @ 1.22% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 72.43%
1-1 @ 6.97% (0.549 0.55)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.768 -0.77)
0-0 @ 2.68% (0.736 0.74)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.633 -0.63)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 15.73%
1-2 @ 3.44% (-0.435 -0.44)
0-1 @ 2.65% (0.298 0.3)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.641 -0.64)
0-2 @ 1.31% (-0.112 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.13% (-0.427 -0.43)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 11.84%

How you voted: PSG vs Montpellier

Paris Saint-Germain
91.8%
Draw
7.6%
Montpellier HSC
0.6%
158
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Montpellier
2-6
PSG
Nordin (30'), Savanier (45+2' pen.)
Vitinha (14'), Mbappe (22', 50', 63'), Kang-in (53'), Mendes (89')
Beraldo (38'), Donnarumma (45+2'), Mendes (72')
Nov 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 11
PSG
3-0
Montpellier
Kang-in (10'), Zaire-Emery (58'), Vitinha (66')
Mukiele (82')
Feb 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 21
Montpellier
1-3
PSG
Nordin (89')
Ruiz (55'), Messi (72'), Zaire-Emery (90+2')
Aug 13, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 2
PSG
5-2
Montpellier
Sacko (39' og.), Neymar (43' pen., 51'), Mbappe (69'), Sanches (87')
Kimpembe (60'), Vitinha (66')
Khazri (58'), Tchato Mbiayi (90+1')
Wahi (63')
May 14, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 37
Montpellier
0-4
PSG

Souquet (41'), Ferri (89')
Messi (6', 20'), Di Maria (26'), Mbappe (60' pen.)
Herrera (34'), Simons (70'), Mbappe (85'), Marquinhos (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207


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