PSG6 - 0Montpellier
We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-0 Montpellier HSC
Despite only just getting over the line last weekend, PSG should have little difficulty in seeing off a side with such a poor recent record against them. Montpellier have not won a league game in Paris since the final day of the 2009-10 season, when they finished 22 points above PSG in what was a very different era for the club from the capital, and that run is likely to continue here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 72.43%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 11.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 3-0 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.97%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
72.43% ( 2.98) | 15.73% ( -0.34) | 11.84% ( -2.64) |
| Both teams to score 58.23% ( -7.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.04% ( -5.23) | 29.96% ( 5.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.86% ( -6.58) | 51.14% ( 6.58) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.79% ( -0.69) | 7.21% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 73.84% ( -1.85) | 26.16% ( 1.85) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.75% ( -7.35) | 37.24% ( 7.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.97% ( -8.04) | 74.03% ( 8.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 2-0 @ 9.28% ( 2.02) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.4)3-0 @ 8.14% ( 1.53)3-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 7.06% ( 1.74)4-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.84)4-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.85)5-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.35)5-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.2)4-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.68)5-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.42)6-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.11)6-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.14)Other @ 4.1% Total : 72.43% | 1-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.55) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.77)0-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.74)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.63)Other @ 0.24% Total : 15.73% | 1-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.44) 0-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.3)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.64)0-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.43)Other @ 1.81% Total : 11.84% |
