Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 55.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 21.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
55.87% ( -0.55) | 22.69% ( 0.17) | 21.44% ( 0.38) |
Both teams to score 54.92% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.46% ( -0.28) | 44.54% ( 0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.09% ( -0.27) | 66.91% ( 0.27) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.22% ( -0.28) | 15.78% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.08% ( -0.52) | 44.92% ( 0.52) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.21% ( 0.21) | 34.79% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.48% ( 0.22) | 71.52% ( -0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
1-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.36% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.66% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.47% Total : 55.86% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.69% | 0-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.04% Total : 21.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | MonacoMonaco | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 5 | 15 | 16 |
3 | Marseille | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 14 |
4 | Reims | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
5 | Lille | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
6 | Lens | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 |
7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 10 |
8 | Lyon | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
9 | NantesNantes | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
10 | Brest | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 9 |
11 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
12 | Rennes | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 7 |
14 | Auxerre | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 6 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 6 |
16 | Toulouse | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 5 |
17 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 4 |
18 | Angers | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 3 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |