MX23RW : Sunday, October 6 19:44:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Rennes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4
Sep 15, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Paul Audrin
Montpellier

Rennes
3 - 0
Montpellier

Blas (24'), Kalimuendo (35'), Gronbaek (60')
Seidu (9')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Nzingoula (21'), Nzingoula (79'), Dzodic (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reims 2-1 Rennes
Sunday, September 1 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Rennes 2-1 Montpellier HSC

Refreshed following the international break, Rennes will be confident of earning their second win of the season against Montpellier on Sunday. La Paillade's injury crisis continues into the middle of September, and we cannot envisage a makeshift visiting side collecting any points at Roazhon Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 55.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 21.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
RennesDrawMontpellier HSC
55.87% (-0.546 -0.55) 22.69% (0.173 0.17) 21.44% (0.378 0.38)
Both teams to score 54.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.46% (-0.277 -0.28)44.54% (0.281 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.09% (-0.269 -0.27)66.91% (0.27200000000001 0.27)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.22% (-0.28 -0.28)15.78% (0.283 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.08% (-0.52 -0.52)44.92% (0.524 0.52)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.21% (0.209 0.21)34.79% (-0.206 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.48% (0.221 0.22)71.52% (-0.217 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Rennes 55.86%
    Montpellier HSC 21.44%
    Draw 22.69%
RennesDrawMontpellier HSC
1-0 @ 10.13% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.36% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.08% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.76% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.81% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.66% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 55.86%
1-1 @ 10.7% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.49% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.69%
0-1 @ 5.8% (0.102 0.1)
1-2 @ 5.65% (0.077 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.06% (0.071 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.99% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.08% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 21.44%

How you voted: Rennes vs Montpellier

Rennes
80.5%
Draw
17.1%
Montpellier HSC
2.4%
41
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 20
Rennes
2-1
Montpellier
Terrier (3'), Kalimuendo (48' pen.)
Truffert (45+4'), Kalimuendo (53'), Yildirim (80'), Le Fee (86')
Savanier (73')
Sagnan (12'), Khazri (30'), Mincarelli (47')
Sep 24, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 6
Montpellier
0-0
Rennes
Chotard (78'), Ferri (90+4')
Yildirim (32')
Apr 23, 2023 4.05pm
Oct 30, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 13
Rennes
3-0
Montpellier
Terrier (15'), Kalimuendo (23'), Gouiri (85')
Feb 25, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 26
Montpellier
2-4
Rennes
Oyongo (19'), Wahi (41')
Savanier (26'), Germain (74'), Oyongo (85')
Terrier (8'), Bourigeaud (15'), Laborde (52' pen.), Majer (84')
Traore (28'), Omari (70')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MonacoMonaco76101441019
2Paris Saint-GermainPSG65102051516
3Marseille7421168814
4Reims74211410414
5Lille7412138513
6Lens725074311
7StrasbourgStrasbourg72411412210
8Lyon73131012-210
9NantesNantes72329819
10Brest73041013-39
11Nice622214688
12Rennes7214111107
13Saint-EtienneSt Etienne7214618-127
14Auxerre7205915-66
15Le HavreLe Havre7205715-86
16Toulouse7124610-45
17Montpellier HSCMontpellier7115821-134
18Angers7034513-83


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