Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3

Aug 21, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stadium Municipal

Toulouse
2 - 2
Lorient

Ratao (31'), Dallinga (64')
Dallinga (43'), van den Boomen (72')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Lauriente (2'), Kone (80' pen.)
Le Fee (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

Last Six:

Last Game: Troyes 0-3 Toulouse
Sunday, August 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Lille	2	3	4
6	Toulouse	2	3	4
7	Monaco	3	-2	4

Lorient

Last Six:

Last Game: Rennes 0-1 Lorient
Sunday, August 7 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Monaco	3	-2	4
8	Lorient	1	1	3
9	Montpellier HSC	2	-2	3

Toulouse appear to have real momentum behind them at the moment following their promotion, while Lorient could be rusty having not competed last weekend. As such, we can envisage a narrow victory for the hosts, who were impressive in scoring three goals away from home last time out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 68.89%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 12.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Toulouse	Draw	Lorient
68.89% ( -0.12)	18.52% ( 0.09)	12.59% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 49.84% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.25% (

-0.33)

41.76% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.85% (

-0.33)

64.16% (

0.34)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.96% (

-0.12)

11.04% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.64% (

-0.27)

35.36% (

0.27)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.02% (

-0.16)

43.98% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.89% (

-0.13)

80.11% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Toulouse 68.88%

Lorient 12.59%

Draw 18.52%

Toulouse	Draw	Lorient
2-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.66% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.89% Total : 68.88%	1-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.9% Total : 18.52%	0-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.61% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 1.28% Total : 12.59%