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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 36
May 8, 2022 at 4.05pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
Marseille

Lorient
0 - 3
Marseille


Lemoine (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dieng (39'), Guendouzi (48'), Gerson (67')
Saliba (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Troyes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lorient 0-1 Marseille

Without the effervescent Payet leading the charge, Marseille's chances of a goal-laden showing have taken a major hit, while the midweek fatigue could certainly work against them as well. However, if Lorient are to sacrifice an attacker for a more defensively-minded setup, breaking down the Olympiens backline will be a tall order for Pelissier's side, who may fall just short in Marseille's most winnable game left. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 48.53%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.45%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Lorient win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
LorientDrawMarseille
27.36% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 24.12% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 48.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 56.8% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.85% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)45.16% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.5% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)67.5% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.87% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)30.13% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.73% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)66.28% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.3% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)18.71% (0.035999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.94% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)50.07% (0.061 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 27.36%
    Marseille 48.53%
    Draw 24.11%
LorientDrawMarseille
2-1 @ 6.8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 6.76% (0.015 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.72% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 27.36%
1-1 @ 11.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.64% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.11%
1-2 @ 9.5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 9.45% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.31% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 3.18% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.85% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 48.53%

How you voted: Lorient vs Marseille

Lorient
14.5%
Draw
10.9%
Marseille
74.5%
55
Head to Head
Oct 17, 2021 7.45pm
Marseille
4-1
Lorient
Kamara (27'), Guendouzi (56', 90+1'), Milik (85')
Lauriente (13' pen.)
Lauriente (81')
Apr 17, 2021 4pm
Marseille
3-2
Lorient
Payet (53'), Lirola (56', 90+1')
Balerdi (39')
Moffi (19', 70')
Oct 24, 2020 4pm
Lorient
0-1
Marseille

Boisgard (20'), Mendes (54'), Gravillon (74'), Pelissier (76')
Balerdi (54')
Benedetto (37'), Gonzalez (56'), Rongier (73')
Mar 5, 2017 2pm
Lorient
1-4
Marseille
Moukandjo (73')
Toure (6'), Peybernes (47')
Rolando (7'), Payet (19'), Thauvin (53'), Sanson (56')
Vainqueur (26')
Aug 26, 2016 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille1272327161123
4Lille126421911822
5Nice1255223121120
6Lyon125431916319
7Auxerre126152119219
8Reims125342016418
9Lens124531312117
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg123452124-313
12Brest124171622-613
13Saint-EtienneSt Etienne124171125-1413
14Le HavreLe Havre124081023-1312
15Rennes123271319-611
16NantesNantes122461419-510
17Angers122461321-810
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier122191132-217


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