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Ligue 1
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 36
May 8, 2022 at 4.05pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
Marseille

Lorient
0 - 3
Marseille


Lemoine (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dieng (39'), Guendouzi (48'), Gerson (67')
Saliba (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

Last Six:
Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Troyes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Marseille

Last Six:
Last Game: Marseille 4-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lorient 0-1 Marseille

 Without the effervescent Payet leading the charge, Marseille's chances of a goal-laden showing have taken a major hit, while the midweek fatigue could certainly work against them as well. However, if Lorient are to sacrifice an attacker for a more defensively-minded setup, breaking down the Olympiens backline will be a tall order for Pelissier's side, who may fall just short in Marseille's most winnable game left. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 48.53%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.45%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Lorient win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
LorientDrawMarseille
27.36% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 24.12% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 48.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 56.8% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.85% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)45.16% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.5% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)67.5% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.87% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)30.13% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.73% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)66.28% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.3% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)18.71% (0.035999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.94% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)50.07% (0.061 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 27.36%
    Marseille 48.53%
    Draw 24.11%
LorientDrawMarseille
2-1 @ 6.8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 6.76% (0.015 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.72% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 27.36%
1-1 @ 11.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.64% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.11%
1-2 @ 9.5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 9.45% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.31% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 3.18% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.85% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 48.53%

How you voted: Lorient vs Marseille

Lorient
14.5%
Draw
10.9%
Marseille
74.5%
55
Head to Head
Oct 17, 2021 7.45pm
Marseille
4-1
Lorient
Kamara (27'), Guendouzi (56', 90+1'), Milik (85')
Lauriente (13' pen.)
Lauriente (81')
> Preview
Apr 17, 2021 4pm
Marseille
3-2
Lorient
Payet (53'), Lirola (56', 90+1')
Balerdi (39')
Moffi (19', 70')
Oct 24, 2020 4pm
Lorient
0-1
Marseille

Boisgard (20'), Mendes (54'), Gravillon (74'), Pelissier (76')
Balerdi (54')
Benedetto (37'), Gonzalez (56'), Rongier (73')
Mar 5, 2017 2pm
Lorient
1-4
Marseille
Moukandjo (73')
Toure (6'), Peybernes (47')
Rolando (7'), Payet (19'), Thauvin (53'), Sanson (56')
Vainqueur (26')
Aug 26, 2016 7.45pm
Marseille
2-0
Lorient
Cabella (19'), Gomis (70')
Hubocan (48')

Toure (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG19145049173247
2Marseille19114440231737
3MonacoMonaco19104532221034
4Nice1996438251333
5Lille1988329191032
6Lyon198653023730
7Lens198652318530
8Brest199192931-228
9StrasbourgStrasbourg197663331227
10Toulouse197482021-125
11Auxerre196582529-423
12Reims195772527-222
13Angers196492128-722
14NantesNantes193972229-718
15Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1953111839-2118
16Rennes1952122630-417
17Montpellier HSCMontpellier1943122044-2415
18Le HavreLe Havre1941141438-2413
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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