Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Nancy had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.56%) and 2-1 (7.08%). The likeliest Nancy win was 0-1 (12.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ajaccio in this match.
