Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nancy win with a probability of 45.61%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nancy win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Toulouse win it was 0-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.