Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 34.31%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 31.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.77%) and 1-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Bastia win was 1-0 (13.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
