Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 34.78%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 34.74% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (6.91%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (13.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.
