Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Caen had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.84%) and 2-1 (7.78%). The likeliest Caen win was 0-1 (11.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ajaccio in this match.
