Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunkerque win with a probability of 35.7%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunkerque win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.06%) and 2-1 (6.9%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (13.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.