Ligue 2 | Gameweek 1
Aug 17, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Caen0 - 2Paris FC
Lebreton (28'), Meddah (64'), Gaucho Debohi (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gory (76'), Kebbal (86' pen.)
Gory (83')
Gory (83')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Paris FC.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Caen had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Caen win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Caen | Draw | Paris FC |
31.26% ( 0.25) | 27.05% ( 0.12) | 41.68% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 49.77% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.63% ( -0.38) | 55.37% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.43% ( -0.31) | 76.57% ( 0.31) |
| Caen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.44% ( -0.02) | 32.56% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.9% ( -0.02) | 69.1% ( 0.02) |
| Paris FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.81% ( -0.37) | 26.19% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.72% ( -0.49) | 61.28% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
Caen 31.26%
Paris FC 41.68%
Draw 27.05%
| Caen | Draw | Paris FC |
| 1-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 31.26% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.05% | 0-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.59% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.18% Total : 41.68% |
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 6pm
Aug 5, 2023 6pm
Apr 15, 2023 6pm
Apr 19, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 34
Paris FC
1-0
Caen
