Ligue 2 | Gameweek 38
May 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Caen3 - 0Valenciennes
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Valenciennes.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dunkerque 2-2 Caen
Friday, May 10 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Friday, May 10 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Valenciennes 2-1 Quevilly
Friday, May 10 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Friday, May 10 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Goals
for
for
25
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 65.23%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 13.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.34%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Caen | Draw | Valenciennes |
65.23% ( 1.63) | 21.46% ( -0.51) | 13.31% ( -1.12) |
| Both teams to score 42.71% ( -1.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.52% ( -0.18) | 52.48% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.85% ( -0.15) | 74.15% ( 0.15) |
| Caen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.61% ( 0.47) | 15.38% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.82% ( 0.88) | 44.18% ( -0.88) |
| Valenciennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.47% ( -1.82) | 49.52% ( 1.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 15.67% ( -1.31) | 84.32% ( 1.31) |
| Score Analysis |
Caen 65.22%
Valenciennes 13.31%
Draw 21.46%
| Caen | Draw | Valenciennes |
| 1-0 @ 14.26% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 13.34% ( 0.52)2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.46)3-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.27)4-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.1)5-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.12)5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.92% Total : 65.22% | 1-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.22)Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.46% | 0-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.3)0-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.19)Other @ 2.56% Total : 13.31% |
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 6pm
Mar 18, 2023 6pm
Nov 5, 2022 6pm
