Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Laval win with a probability of 35.14%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Laval win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.89%) and 2-1 (6.89%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (13.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.