Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 55.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 22.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-2 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.